Tidewater Office Partners · TWOP
DEMO DATAUNDERWRITING ASSUMPTIONPASSCredit metrics — FY2025A
DEMO DATA inputs · CALCULATED metrics| Metric | Value | Formula | Raw inputs used |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $1.8B | Σ tranche principal (face value) | debt=1750.0 |
| Net debt | $1.7B | Total debt − cash | debt=1750.0 · cash=70.0 |
| Gross leverage (Debt / EBITDA) | 8.95x | Total debt ÷ EBITDA | debt=1750.0 · ebitda=195.5 |
| Secured leverage | 7.67x | Secured debt ÷ EBITDA | secured=1500.0 · ebitda=195.5 |
| Net leverage | 8.59x | Net debt ÷ EBITDA | netDebt=1680.0 · ebitda=195.5 |
| Interest coverage (EBIT / interest) | 1.05x | EBIT ÷ interest expense | ebit=113.9 · interest=108.6 |
| EBITDA / interest | 1.80x | EBITDA ÷ interest expense | ebitda=195.5 · interest=108.6 |
| FCF / debt | 2.6% | Free cash flow ÷ total debt | fcf=45.5 · debt=1750.0 |
| Debt service coverage | 1.41x | (EBITDA − capex − taxes) ÷ (interest + mandatory amortization) | ebitda=195.5 · capex=40.8 · taxes=1.32 · interest=108.6 · amort=0.00 |
| Cash conversion | 79.1% | (EBITDA − capex) ÷ EBITDA | ebitda=195.5 · capex=40.8 |
| Liquidity ratio | 0.20x | (Cash + undrawn revolver) ÷ (debt due next period + amortization + interest) | liquidity=70.0 · stObl=358.6 |
| Current ratio | 0.38x | Current assets ÷ (current liabilities ex-debt + debt due next period) | currentAssets=130.0 · curLiab=345.0 |
| Short-term debt / liquidity | 3.57x | Debt due next period ÷ (cash + undrawn revolver) | std=250.0 · liquidity=70.0 |
Credit scorecard — deterministic, auditable
Score 32.4 / 100 · High| Factor | Measure | Value | Best | Worst | Points | Max | Proj. base | Proj. downside | Proj. severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leverage | Net debt / LTM EBITDA | 8.59 | 2 | 7 | 0.0 | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Coverage | LTM EBITDA / interest expense | 1.80 | 5 | 1 | 3.0 | 15 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Liquidity | Cash + undrawn revolver vs next-period obligations | 0.20 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Free cash flow | LTM FCF / total debt | 0.03 | 0.12 | -0.02 | 3.3 | 10 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Maturity risk | Share of debt maturing within 3 periods | 1.00 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Margin stability | Std-dev of annual EBITDA margin | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 8.3 | 10 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Revenue stability | Std-dev of annual revenue growth | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 8.0 | 8 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Asset coverage | Asset base / total debt | 1.17 | 2 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 12 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Industry risk | Sector factor (config.ts) | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | 10 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Total | 32.4 | 100 | 32.3 | 30.7 | 28.1 | ||||
Why did the score change?
FY2024A (same capital structure) → FY2025A: 33.7 → 32.4
- • Net leverage broadly stable at 8.6x
- ▼ Interest coverage fell from 2.0x to 1.8x (-0.8 pts, negative)
- • Liquidity ratio broadly stable at 0.2x
- ▼ FCF / debt fell from 3.3% to 2.6% (-0.5 pts, negative)
- • Near-term maturity share unchanged at 100%
- • Margin volatility unchanged at 1.7 pts
- • Revenue volatility unchanged at 0.1 pts
- • Asset coverage unchanged at 1.17x
- • Industry risk factor unchanged at 0.50
Each factor earns its weight linearly between a “worst” (0 pts) and “best” (full pts) threshold; weights and thresholds live in src/lib/config.ts. “Proj.” columns re-score the first projected period of each scenario. Risk bands: ≥75 Low · ≥60 Moderate · ≥45 Elevated · else High.
Covenant analysis
Metrics are computed from the projection by the scenario engine — no covenant output is typed in. Headroom = distance to the covenant (positive = cushion). Hypothetical covenants are UNDERWRITING ASSUMPTION; disclosed covenants are tested on a model-basis proxy.
| FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | FY2029E | FY2030E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current metric | 11.99x | 14.16x | 14.35x | 14.51x | 14.67x |
| Covenant | ≤ 9.50x | ≤ 9.50x | ≤ 9.50x | ≤ 9.50x | ≤ 9.50x |
| Headroom | −2.49x (-26%) | −4.66x (-49%) | −4.85x (-51%) | −5.01x (-53%) | −5.17x (-54%) |
| Status | BREACH | BREACH | BREACH | BREACH | BREACH |
| FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | FY2029E | FY2030E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current metric | 1.18x | 1.04x | 1.05x | 1.05x | 1.05x |
| Covenant | ≥ 1.50x | ≥ 1.50x | ≥ 1.50x | ≥ 1.50x | ≥ 1.50x |
| Headroom | −0.32x (-21%) | −0.46x (-31%) | −0.45x (-30%) | −0.45x (-30%) | −0.45x (-30%) |
| Status | BREACH | BREACH | BREACH | BREACH | BREACH |
Projected credit metrics by scenario
ANALYST PROJECTION| Scenario | Metric | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | FY2029E | FY2030E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Case | Net debt / EBITDA | 8.5x | 8.5x | 8.3x | 8.2x | 8.1x |
| EBITDA / cash interest | 1.8x | 1.8x | 1.9x | 1.9x | 1.9x | |
| DSCR | 1.4x | 1.4x | 1.5x | 1.5x | 1.5x | |
| Liquidity ($M) | $0M | $0M | $0M | $47M | $91M | |
| Downside | Net debt / EBITDA | 9.5x | 9.8x | 9.7x | 9.7x | 9.6x |
| EBITDA / cash interest | 1.5x | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.6x | 1.6x | |
| DSCR | 1.2x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 1.2x | |
| Liquidity ($M) | $0M | $0M | $0M | $25M | $50M | |
| Severe Downside | Net debt / EBITDA | 12.0x | 14.2x | 14.3x | 14.5x | 14.7x |
| EBITDA / cash interest | 1.2x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.0x | |
| DSCR | 1.0x | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.9x | 0.9x | |
| Liquidity ($M) | $0M | $0M | $0M | $0M | $0M |
Red = payment default reached in or before that period. After a default the model keeps rolling mechanically for illustration; the recovery waterfall is struck at the default period.
Sources & data lineage (3)
| Source | Document | Data type | Period | Accession | Doc date | Retrieved | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CreditIQ demo dataset | Tidewater Office Partners — illustrative financial statements FY2022–FY2025 | Income statement / cash flow | FY2022–FY2025 | — | 2026-03-31 | 2026-03-31 | DEMO DATA |
| CreditIQ demo dataset | Tidewater Office Partners — illustrative capital structure & covenants | Debt schedule | As of 2026-03-31 | — | 2026-03-31 | 2026-03-31 | DEMO DATA |
| CreditIQ demo dataset | Illustrative indicative bid marks (% of par) | Market price | 2026-03-31 | — | 2026-03-31 | 2026-03-31 | DEMO DATA |