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Tidewater Office Partners · TWOP

DEMO DATAUNDERWRITING ASSUMPTIONPASS

Recovery waterfall by scenario

ANALYST PROJECTION

Recovery value = MAX(going-concern value, liquidation value) + cash, less administrative costs, then distributed by seniority (strict absolute priority; equal ranks pari passu). Going concern = distressed EV/EBITDA multiple × EBITDA at the valuation event; liquidation = asset base × (1 − decline) × liquidation recovery. Valuation event = the payment-default period, or — if no default is modelled — a hypothetical default at the trough-EBITDA period (so protection is always measured). Specific liens are paid from their own collateral pool; any deficiency joins general creditors. Illustrative appraised / collateral value (DEMO)

Base Case — FY2026E (modelled payment default)

Going concern
$1.2B
Liquidation
$1.6B
Recovery value = MAX (+ cash $0M)
$1.6B · liquidation
Target tranche · LGD
100% recovery · 0% loss
Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$1.6B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($65.6M)
Mortgage / CMBS1$1.2B$1.2B100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Second-Priority Term Loan2$357.5M$357.5M100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Unsecured Notes 4.5%3$139.0M$50.1M36.0%$88.9M64.0%
Total claims$1.7B$1.6B$88.9M
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out

Downside — FY2026E (modelled payment default)

Going concern
$1.1B
Liquidation
$1.4B
Recovery value = MAX (+ cash $0M)
$1.4B · liquidation
Target tranche · LGD
48% recovery · 52% loss
Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$1.4B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($55.8M)
Mortgage / CMBS1$1.2B$1.2B100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Second-Priority Term Loan2$358.8M$171.4M47.8%$187.4M52.2%
Unsecured Notes 4.5%3$156.7M$0.0M0.0%$156.7M100.0%
Total claims$1.7B$1.3B$344.1M
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out

Severe Downside — FY2026E (modelled payment default)

Going concern
$913M
Liquidation
$1.1B
Recovery value = MAX (+ cash $0M)
$1.1B · liquidation
Target tranche · LGD
0% recovery · 100% loss
Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$1.1B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($42.6M)
Mortgage / CMBS1$1.2B$1.0B87.7%$143.5M12.3%
Second-Priority Term Loan2$360.1M$0.0M0.0%$360.1M100.0%
Unsecured Notes 4.5%3$185.2M$0.0M0.0%$185.2M100.0%
Total claims$1.7B$1.0B$688.8M
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out

Recovery lab — change valuation assumptions and watch the waterfall re-allocate

Going-concern $780.0M vs liquidation $1.1B → recovery value = MAX = $1.1B (used: liquidation, $1.1B). Claims = current face value + 3 months accrued interest.

Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$1.1B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($42.6M)
Mortgage / CMBS1$1.2B$1.0B87.7%$143.5M12.3%
Second-Priority Term Loan2$357.5M$0.0M0.0%$357.5M100.0%
Unsecured Notes 4.5%3$252.8M$0.0M0.0%$252.8M100.0%
Total claims$1.8B$1.0B$753.8M
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out