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Redwood Broadband · RWBB

DEMO DATAUNDERWRITING ASSUMPTIONHOLD

Recovery waterfall by scenario

ANALYST PROJECTION

Recovery value = MAX(going-concern value, liquidation value) + cash, less administrative costs, then distributed by seniority (strict absolute priority; equal ranks pari passu). Going concern = distressed EV/EBITDA multiple × EBITDA at the valuation event; liquidation = asset base × (1 − decline) × liquidation recovery. Valuation event = the payment-default period, or — if no default is modelled — a hypothetical default at the trough-EBITDA period (so protection is always measured). Specific liens are paid from their own collateral pool; any deficiency joins general creditors. Illustrative appraised / collateral value (DEMO)

Base Case — FY2027E (modelled payment default)

Going concern
$3.3B
Liquidation
$2.9B
Recovery value = MAX (+ cash $0M)
$3.3B · going concern
Target tranche · LGD
100% recovery · 0% loss
Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$3.3B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($130.5M)
Revolver1$148.5M$148.5M100.0%$0.0M0.0%
First-Lien Term Loan1$1.7B$1.7B100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Second-Lien Notes 10.50%2$1.0B$1.0B100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Senior Unsecured Notes 6.50%3$1.3B$256.3M19.4%$1.1B80.6%
Total claims$4.2B$3.1B$1.1B
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out

Downside — FY2027E (modelled payment default)

Going concern
$2.9B
Liquidation
$2.4B
Recovery value = MAX (+ cash $0M)
$2.9B · going concern
Target tranche · LGD
80% recovery · 20% loss
Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$2.9B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($114.0M)
Revolver1$204.9M$204.9M100.0%$0.0M0.0%
First-Lien Term Loan1$1.7B$1.7B100.0%($0.0M)-0.0%
Second-Lien Notes 10.50%2$1.0B$826.0M80.5%$200.2M19.5%
Senior Unsecured Notes 6.50%3$1.3B$0.0M0.0%$1.3B100.0%
Total claims$4.3B$2.7B$1.5B
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out

Severe Downside — FY2027E (modelled payment default)

Going concern
$2.1B
Liquidation
$1.9B
Recovery value = MAX (+ cash $0M)
$2.1B · going concern
Target tranche · LGD
6% recovery · 94% loss
Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$2.1B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($84.8M)
Revolver1$258.4M$258.4M100.0%$0.0M0.0%
First-Lien Term Loan1$1.7B$1.7B100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Second-Lien Notes 10.50%2$1.0B$64.9M6.3%$961.3M93.7%
Senior Unsecured Notes 6.50%3$1.3B$0.0M0.0%$1.3B100.0%
Total claims$4.3B$2.0B$2.3B
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out

Recovery lab — change valuation assumptions and watch the waterfall re-allocate

Going-concern $2.1B vs liquidation $1.9B → recovery value = MAX = $2.1B (used: going concern, $2.1B). Claims = current face value + 3 months accrued interest.

Claim (by seniority)RankClaimRecoveryRecovery %LossLoss %
Recovery value$2.1B
Less: administrative / DIP costs($84.9M)
Revolver1$203.8M$203.8M100.0%$0.0M0.0%
First-Lien Term Loan1$1.7B$1.7B100.0%$0.0M0.0%
Second-Lien Notes 10.50%2$1.0B$98.6M9.6%$927.7M90.4%
Senior Unsecured Notes 6.50%3$1.3B$0.0M0.0%$1.3B100.0%
Total claims$4.3B$2.0B$2.2B
Equity (residual)$0.0MWiped out